管家婆平特一肖准准

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“十四五”清洁能源将占能源消费增量的七成以上

发布时间:2019-12-18 10:00    来源:中国能源报
 

关键词:十四五 光伏消纳 清洁能源 煤电装机管家婆平特一肖准准

摘要:“目前,‘十四五’能源规划的研究工作正在开展,国家、省级层面均已到了完成规划思路的阶段。围绕主要目标、指标测算、重大工程等核心内容,国家能源局也开始与各地对接,总体规划、地方规划两条线协同推进。现在起到明年6月是一个重要时段,重点要把基础工作搞扎实。”近日在2019中国能源研究会年会现场,国家能源局规划司司长李福龙透露了“十四五”能源规划编制的最新进展。

管家婆平特一肖准准  WEILAI10-15NIAN,ZHISHAOLUXUCHUXIAN4GEFENGZHIPINGTAIQI:2025NIANQIANHOU,MEITANXIAOFEIDAFENG;2030NIANQIAN,SHIYOUXIAOFEIDAFENG;2030NIANQIANHOU,TANPAIFANG、MEIDIANZHUANGJIDAFENG。

管家婆平特一肖准准  “MUQIAN,‘SHISIWU’NENGYUANGUIHUADEYANJIUGONGZUOZHENGZAIKAIZHAN,GUOJIA、SHENGJICENGMIANJUNYIDAOLEWANCHENGGUIHUASILUDEJIEDUAN。WEIRAOZHUYAOMUBIAO、ZHIBIAOCESUAN、ZHONGDAGONGCHENGDENGHEXINNEIRONG,GUOJIANENGYUANJUYEKAISHIYUGEDIDUIJIE,ZONGTIGUIHUA、DIFANGGUIHUALIANGTIAOXIANXIETONGTUIJIN。XIANZAIQIDAOMINGNIAN6YUESHIYIGEZHONGYAOSHIDUAN,ZHONGDIANYAOBAJICHUGONGZUOGAOZHASHI。”JINRIZAI2019ZHONGGUONENGYUANYANJIUHUINIANHUIXIANCHANG,GUOJIANENGYUANJUGUIHUASISIZHANGLIFULONGTOULULE“SHISIWU”NENGYUANGUIHUABIANZHIDEZUIXINJINZHAN。

  ZHENGZHIGUIHUAYANJIUZHINIAN,ZHUDUOZHONGDIANWENTIYINFAGUANZHU。XIANGBI“SHISANWU”,WOGUONENGYUANSHENGCHANYUXIAOFEIDEXINGSHIJIANGFASHENGNAXIEBIANHUA?YUQIXIANGSHIYINGDEGUIHUANEIRONG,XUYAOZUOCHUNAXIEDIAOZHENG?MIANDUIXINSHIDAIDEXINTIAOZHAN,NENGYUANCHANYERUHEQUDEXINTUPO?JINQIJUXINGDEDUOCHANGHUIYISHANG,LAIZIBUTONGLINGYUDEQUANWEIZHUANJIAFENFENBIAODAGUANDIAN。

  谈形势:

  以碳减排为统领

  能源发展的“四个期”并存

管家婆平特一肖准准  “SHISIWU”,SHIWOGUOQUANMIANWANCHENGXIAOKANGSHEHUIMUBIAO,BINGKAIQIXINZHENGCHENGDEDIYIGEWUNIANGUIHUAQI,YESHIQUANMIANLUOSHIGAOZHILIANGFAZHAN、SHENRUTUIJINNENGYUANSHENGCHANXIAOFEIGEMINGDEGUANJIANQI。YINCI,RENQING“SHISIWU”YANJIUDEBEIJINGYUXINGSHIZHIGUANZHONGYAO。

  LIFULONGBIAOSHI,“SHISIWU”JINGJIHENENGYUANFAZHANDEJIEDUANXINGTEZHENG,KEGAIKUOWEI“SIGEQI”,JILIANGGEBAINIANZHANLVEMUBIAODECHENGJIEQI、LIANGGEFEIHUASHIMUBIAODECHENGJIEQI、NENGYUANXIAOFEIZENGLIANGJIEGOUDEBIANHUAQI,JIDUOGEFENGZHICHUXIANHUOLINJINQI。“MUQIANLAIKAN,MINGNIANWANCHENGFEIHUASHINENGYUANXIAOFEIZHANBI15%DEMUBIAOWENTIBUDA,JINERXIANG2030NIANDADAO20%DEMUBIAOMAIJIN。2018-2020NIAN,QINGJIENENGYUANYUEZHANNENGYUANXIAOFEIZENGLIANG68%,‘SHISIWU’JIANGBIZHONGTIGAODAO70%YISHANG。ZHIZHI2025NIANYIHOU,NENGYUANXIAOFEIZENGLIANGZHUYAOYOUQINGJIENENGYUANMANZU。”

  WEILAI10-15NIAN,ZHISHAOLUXUCHUXIAN4GEFENGZHIPINGTAIQI。“2025NIANQIANHOU,MEITANXIAOFEIDAFENG;2030NIANQIAN,SHIYOUXIAOFEIDAFENG;2030NIANQIANHOU,TANPAIFANG、MEIDIANZHUANGJIDAFENG。”YICIWEIBEIJING,LIFULONGQIANGDIAO,“SHISIWU”GUIHUAYAOJIANGHUASHINENGYUANDETANPAIFANGWENTIKAOLVZAINEI。

  TANPAIFANGYESHIDUOWEIZHUANJIAGUANZHUDEZHONGDIAN。“YINGDUIQIHOUBIANHUAYALIJIAJU,ZAOCHENGWOGUONENGYUANXUQIUZENGZHANGYUZIYUANHUANJINGYUESHUZHIJIANDEMAODUNRIYITUCHU。”ZHONGGUONENGYUANYANJIUHUIKEZAISHENGNENGYUANZHUANWEIHUIZHURENLIJUNFENGBIAOSHI,WEIMANZUGUOJI、GUONEIQIHOUYUKECHIXUFAZHANDEMUBIAO,YOUHUANENGYUANJIEGOUSHIZHONGZHONGZHIZHONG。

  YIDIANLIXINGYEWEILI,ZHONGGUODIANLIQIYELIANHEHUIFULISHIZHANGWANGZHIXUANYECHENG,DITANFAZHANFANGDAOSHENMEWEIZHI,SHIDIANLIGUIHUAMIANLINDEZHUYAOWENTIZHIYI。“‘SHISIWU’QIJIAN,YITANJIANPAIWEITONGLING,ZHENGHEZHENGCETIXI。ZAIJIEJUECHANGGUIWURANWUDEJICHUSHANG,RUHEJINYIBUSHIXIANDITANYAOQIU?WEIDADAOJIANPAICHENGNUO,XINBIANHUAFANGUOLAIYOUJINENGYUANXITONGDAILAIDUOSHAOYINGXIANG?ZHEIXIEDOUSHIZHONGDIANYANJIUNEIRONG。”

  谈挑战:

  为解决区域性、时段性矛盾

  优化比增量更重要

  XINXINGSHITICHUXINDEYAOQIU,TONGSHIYEDAILAITIAOZHAN。ZAILIFULONGKANLAI,“SHISIWU”QIJIAN,QUYUXING、SHIDUANXINGGONGXUMAODUNRENGBUKEHUSHI。

  “DANGNENGYUANGONGYINGBIJIAOJINZHANGSHI,WANGWANGGENGRONGYIGUANZHUQUYUXING、SHIDUANXINGMAODUN。XIANZAIZHENGTISUIZOUXIANGKUANSONG,DANDIAOZHENGRENGYOUYIGEGUOCHENG。”LIFULONGBIAOSHI,YIHUHUANYONGXIANWEIJIE,NENGYUANZIYUANHEXIAOFEIDENIXIANGFENBUGEJU,DUANQINEIBUHUIGAIBIAN,“SHISIWU”GUIHUAYINGZHONGDIANKAOLVNENGYUANBUJUHELIUXIANGDEYOUHUAWENTI。TONGSHI,YINDIANLI、TIANRANQIDENGFUHEFENGGUCHABUDUANKUODA,DIGUFUHESHIDUAN,QINGJIENENGYUANXIAONAWENTITUCHU;JIANFENGFUHESHIDUAN,GONGYINGBAOZHANGYALIJIADA。RUHEHELIANPAICHANNENGJIANSHEYUYUNXINGDIAOJIE,TONGCHOUGONGYINGBAOZHANGYUXITONGXIAOLV,YESHI“SHISIWU”MIANLINDEZHUYAOTIAOZHANZHIYI。

  ZHANZAIXINGYEJIAODU,WANGZHIXUANJINYIBUBIAOSHI,“‘SHISIWU’DIANLIGUIHUAJIJUTIAOZHAN。GUOQU,DIANLIGUIHUAZHUYAOJIEJUEDUANQUEWENTI,CONGDIANLIXUQIUJIAODUJINXINGYUCE。JINTIANZAIZUOGUIHUA,DIANLIGONGXUYIYOUZHANGQIDUANQUEZHUANWEIXIANGDUIFUYU,MIANLINDEWENTIQUEBIGUOQUGENGYANJUN。”

  YIWOGUOZHUTINENGYUANMEITANWEILI,ZHONGGUOGONGCHENGYUANYUANSHIKANGHONGPUYEZHICHU,WEILAIBUZAISHICHANLIANGYUEDUOYUEHAO,ERSHIXUYAODUOSHAO、CHANDUOSHAO。“JINGJISHEHUIFAZHANFUYUMEITANXINDESHIMINGHEDANDANG,YAOQIUJINGZHUNMANZUGONGYINGXUQIU。JINGZHUNYIWEIZHEGONGXUYOUGANGXINGZOUXIANGROUXING,WULUNHESHIHEDIXUYAO,JUNKEBAOLIANG、JISHIGONGYING,QIESHEHUICHENGBENYUELAIYUEDI。WEICI,MEITANXINGYEYAOZHUIQIUQUANYAOSU、QUANGUOCHENGDEGAOZHILIANGFAZHAN,SHIXIANYOUHUASHENGJI。”

  谈趋势:

  2030年前后

  能源消费需求达到峰值

  ZONGHEFAZHANXINGSHI、XINGYEXIANZHUANG,LIFULONGRENWEI,“SHISIWU”NENGYUANGUIHUAYINGZHONGDIANMOUQIU5FANGMIANDETUPO:ZHELIBUQIANQUANDUANBAN、TUIJINQINGJIEDITANZHUANXING、GOUJIANZHINENGGAOXIAODENENGYUANXITONG、TUIDONGNENGYUANCHUANGXINKAIFANGFAZHAN,YIJIZHELIZENGJINNENGYUANMINSHENGFUZHI。

管家婆平特一肖准准  “QIJIANXUNULIHUIDALIANGGEZHONGYAOWENTI,YISHIGONGXUPINGHENGYUNENGYUANANQUANBAOZHANGDEJIBENWENTI,ERSHIWANCHENGGOUJIANZHINENGNENGYUANXITONGDESHIDAIYAOQIU。WEICI,WOMENYAOZAIGUANJIANHUANJIEXIAGONGFU。”LIFULONGSHUO。

  LIFULONGJINYIBUBIAOSHI,“SHISIWU”NENGYUANXIAOFEIRENGJIANGBAOCHIZENGZHANGTAISHI。“CONGMOUZHONGYIYISHANGSHUO,TUIDONGXIANDAIHUAJIANSHE,JIUSHI‘GONGYEHUA+CHENGZHENHUA’DEJINCHENG。SHOUCIYINGXIANG,NENGYUANXIAOFEIZONGLIANGDINGJIANGBAOCHIZENGZHANG。TONGSHI,CONG5NIANPINGJUNLAIKAN,NENGYUANXIAOFEIZENGSUFANGHUAN;DANWEIGDPNENGHAOXIAJIANGFUDUSHOUZHAI,YUEDAOHOUMIANJIANGFUDENANDUYUEDA。SHANGSHU3GEZOUSHIKEYIQUEDING,DANJUTIBIANHUAFUDUHAIXUSHENRUYANJIU。”

管家婆平特一肖准准  DUICI,GUOWANGNENGYUANYANJIUYUANFUYUANZHANGWANGYAOHUAYUCE,“SHISIWU”NENGYUANXUQIUZONGLIANGDEZENGZHANGJIANGBAOCHIDISU,BINGZAI2030NIANQIANHOUDAFENG,FENGZHIZAI50YI-52YIDUNBIAOZHUNMEI。“2030NIANYIHOU,ZHONGDUANNENGYUANXUQIUHEYICINENGYUANXUQIUJUNJINRUFENGZHIPINGTAIQI,ZONGLIANGFENBIEWENDINGZAI39YI-41YIDUN、58-60YIDUNBIAOZHUNMEI。SUIZHEJIENENGJISHUDETUIGUANGYINGYONG,JISHUCENGMIANDEJIENENGQIANLIZHUBUFANGHUAN、YONGNENGJIEGOUSHENGJIDEGONGXIANTISHENG。YUJIDAO2035NIAN、2050NIAN,DANWEIGDPNENGHAOFENBIEJIANGZHIDANGQIANSHUIPINGDE50%、30%YIXIA。”(ZHUYAN)

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